Well, I predicted the loser!

May 18, 2013

Well, I predicted the loser!

Well, I just enjoyed the Eurovision Song Contest. Here are my predictions for the lowest ten. Norway (my choice for winners) came fourth, which I think was pretty good!

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Predicting Eurovision with Country-Level Regression

May 16, 2013

Predicting Eurovision with Country-Level Regression

There seem to be a few people out there attempting to predict the Eurovision this year using this technique or that, from the Guardian's tongue-in-cheek averaging out of past results, to Cold Hard Facts using a Bayesian predictive model. I thought I'd throw my hat in the ring, with yet another equally fuzzy model. I don't expect to do as well as CHF, as I banged mine together in 5 minutes.

I'm backing Norway this year.

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