May 16, 2013
There seem to be a few people out there attempting to predict the Eurovision this year using this technique or that, from the Guardian's tongue-in-cheek averaging out of past results, to Cold Hard Facts using a Bayesian predictive model. I thought I'd throw my hat in the ring, with yet another equally fuzzy model. I don't expect to do as well as CHF, as I banged mine together in 5 minutes.
I'm backing Norway this year.
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